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Episode 02
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PostPosted: Tue Jun 19, 2012 11:05:15 am 
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Here you go.


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Re: Episode 02
PostPosted: Tue Jun 19, 2012 11:43:11 am 
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Merci.


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Re: Episode 02
PostPosted: Tue Jun 19, 2012 1:12:26 pm 
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Daniel wrote:
The only situation in which I'd volunteer myself to go into refuge is if I feel I'm in danger. Currently, I am not. I'm sitting in the majority alliance with five others and as far as I am aware there are no pocket alliances. Penny is secure with me, she wouldn't work against our mutual benefit, at least at this point in the game... I HOPE. As for the others, I'm rather close with Katie and Ian is just there. Tbh Ian is kind of a dud but eh whatever. A vote is a vote.


Thank you Daniel, now spill the other names please.

So;
Daniel/Penny/Katie/Ian plus..? Lisi & Mike maybe??

I need to talk to Nat<3, spaz or no spaz.


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Re: Episode 02
PostPosted: Tue Jun 19, 2012 2:56:08 pm 
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There are so many damn permutations on the twist.

Should Chaang win:
If I feel she's in danger then Catalie is first choice, whether she wants to leave or not.
Option 2 is to take Tyson over. Kinda forcing Alina & Monica to abandon any thoughts of allying with Corinne. My worry here is that he might bring Corinne over 4th :/

Should Seuua win (lolno):
I'm leaning towards Penny. What scares me is that she is that close to Daniel she'd bring him next. Saving grace here is that she'd likely have to pick from my tribe next. Plus we end up with shitty challenge performers on Refuge then :/
Option 2 is pulling Cristina, leaving them all a little less safe for the next vote. idk idk where to go with this, i need to talk to them more.


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Re: Episode 02
PostPosted: Tue Jun 19, 2012 5:18:51 pm 
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Fuck you Probst! This twist is hell.









But kinda awesome too. I just want it over with at this point, so many damn stories over on Chaang. My mind is made up on Seuua, Cristina gets saved if they somehow win.


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Re: Episode 02
PostPosted: Tue Jun 19, 2012 6:17:15 pm 
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Interesting scenarios! "So many damn stories"? Which people would you say that you believe the most on Chaang with all of the different accounts flying around?

If Chaang does win, what are your considerations for using your refugee decision for offensive versus defensive purposes, looking out for the interests of yourself or your allies? (Depending on however you want to define "offensive" and "defensive" here.)


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Re: Episode 02
PostPosted: Tue Jun 19, 2012 6:18:02 pm 
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Okay so much shit is going down, it's time for a snapshot of my mind leading into this decision tonight.


Seuua is the easy one. Like I said above, should they pull out an unlikely win, I'll most likely save Cristina for a few reasons;
-She has literally no connections so it should be appreciated by her and she will happily become part of a new Refugee alliance.
-I can work this so Penny & Daniel believe it's in their benefits too, I gift them a solid majority for a start, and if/when they make merge you'd better be damn sure I'll be taking the credit and looking to collect on a favour.
-Cristina has some good challenge strength, which is something Refugee Camp is srsly lacking.
-If Yul is actually outside an alliance of Penny/Daniel/Katie/Ian/Mike like I believe he is, their next three boots should then be Lisi/Nat<3 and then Yul - you can be sure I'll jump on a chance to take out a challenge whore this early. Should they choose to keep Yul (or Mike wants to keep Nat<3, or Penny the same for Lisi), they do so at the expense of shattering that alliance, and possibly bringing Penny/Daniel closer to me.


Image

Over on Chaang things are a little more complicated; My first thought was to just save Catalie, but I think at this point that is unnecessary. I've lived at the board today, it's almost like a merge round for me. I want this decision to not just be a this round decision, but a long-term one since I'll not have much influence the next few days.


Yesterday I said that I would hate to have to choose between Alina and Catalie. Today I know it's Catalie for sure. Alina has been caught with her hand in the cookie jar in an alliance with Monica/Nay/Ty & Corinne. I don't mind it, she's gotta take care of herself and set up options, but she never told me about it. & I do not take kindly to hearing this stuff second-hand.

A nod to Monica here, even if she was planning on going the other way, she was still smart enough to pretend it was a shamlliance and fill us in on it in advance.

NayNay :/ NayNay is even worse, she asked me this afternoon to save Catalie, which confirms not only did she intend on following through with that one, but that she still is! icon_rolleyes

But now everyone knows about it, and everyone knows everyone knows about it. Whether it actually happens or not hinges on my decision tonight.

The way I see it I have three options;
1) Save an ally, namely Catalie. Just do it, keep her safe. we buy a day to figure out what next. But doing this practically forces the hands of Nay/Alina/Monica to take the easy route, and may condemns Taj/Erinn to be next boots.

2) Steal a number from the other side, I'm looking at Tyson here. This would a) shut down a shitload of Corinne's options and make her a far less attractive route to go down for all of Alina/Monya/Nay/Coach. Plus Tyson has suddenly a lot less options and might become a valuable ally for the refugee alliance. He's pretty great to talk to in fairness to him.

3) 'Save' one of my wishy-washy numbers - Monica or Alina I guess. Force the others to choose sides. idk, I don't really like this option but somewhere in the back of my head I'm thinking I really should consider this one. It has the benefit of me getting a lot more influence over the following refugee than if I choose Ty or Cat.


idk, idk, Catalie has finally shown up, so I'm gonna hammer this one out with her.


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Re: Episode 02
PostPosted: Tue Jun 19, 2012 6:22:51 pm 
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Helen Glover wrote:
Interesting scenarios! "So many damn stories"? Which people would you say that you believe the most on Chaang with all of the different accounts flying around?

If Chaang does win, what are your considerations for using your refugee decision for offensive versus defensive purposes, looking out for the interests of yourself or your allies? (Depending on however you want to define "offensive" and "defensive" here.)


Ooh, sneak attack questions. I guess I've answered most of the above?

Right now I'm thinking choosing Tyson is the best balance of setting me up, and setting up anyone I want to keep safe into a majority. I *believe* enough shit has been stirred up that it would take balls of steel for anyone bar Ty & Nay to align with Corinne.

The only downsides to him is I'm not bringing strength to Refugee Island, and what's to stop him just picking Corinne next time?


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Re: Episode 02
PostPosted: Tue Jun 19, 2012 7:16:31 pm 
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Chaang are considering throwing the challenge icon_rolleyes Never a good idea, but at least it would make my decision easier.


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Re: Episode 02
PostPosted: Tue Jun 19, 2012 7:29:22 pm 
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Brenda wrote:
Chaang are considering throwing the challenge icon_rolleyes Never a good idea, but at least it would make my decision easier.


Unless of course, they are losing a number anyway :/ then it could become quite beneficial to throw and ensure your target is gone to the LL. Hell that goes for Seuua too. lols if they both try to throw now I've told some of Seuua I'm leaning towards Cristina icon_chaos


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Re: Episode 02
PostPosted: Tue Jun 19, 2012 9:48:17 pm 
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alol if they are actually both throwing. I would have thought it night on impossible to even get to eleven guesses in 5 of 9 mastermind. Six rounds if you're poor, four if you're lucky on your first.

Good grief it's boring not competing though. God help when I have no-one to talk to. Get Shan or Terry here asap please.


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Re: Episode 02
PostPosted: Tue Jun 19, 2012 9:57:13 pm 
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How does Seuua's IC win affect your plans?


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Re: Episode 02
PostPosted: Tue Jun 19, 2012 10:16:26 pm 
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It makes my decision a helluva lot easier. Cristina comes to RI.

Sounds like Mike isn't actually #5 in that alliance, I took pleasure in informing him all about it though. hopefully he & <3Nat can pull something unlikely off.


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Re: Episode 02
PostPosted: Tue Jun 19, 2012 10:57:38 pm 
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kk, kill my permissions please, before I have to listen to anymore of their lies.


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